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naked making love at the pool screenshots 3 Approaching E2014, we observed that the near-universal use of the Likely Voter Cutoff Model (LVCM ) in pre-election polling, and stratification to demographic and partisanship quanta derived from (rightward) adjusted prior-election exit polls in all polling, were methodological distortions that pushed both exit polls.
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We employed a meta-analysis of multiple measures of the demographics and political leanings of the electorate to elf rpg sex games demonstrate that the exit polls in question had not oversampled or over-represented Democratic or left-leaning voters (in fact any inaccuracy turned out to be in the opposite direction.
Of the 21 Senate elections that were exit polled, 19 were red-shifted. The gubernatorial sie lesbian porn pics from alphaprotical red shift averaged 5.0 and 20 out of the 21 races were red-shifted. In US House elections, which are exit polled with an aggregate national sample, 1 the red.